Are Institutional Investors Driving Up Home Prices?
financial commute

Are Institutional Investors Driving Up Home Prices?

Are Institutional Investors Driving Up Home Prices?

financial commute

Featuring

Chris Galeski, Wealth Advisor, Morton Wealth  

Mikey Taylor, Mayor of Thousand Oaks & CEO of Commune Capital

If you have been watching housing prices and wondering whether the new executive order restricting institutional investors is the fix everyone is hoping for, you are not alone. The frustration is real, and the concern for affordability is legitimate.

In this episode of Financial Commute, Chris Galeski sits down with Mikey Taylor, Mayor of Thousand Oaks and CEO of Commune Capital, to examine what the data actually says about who owns single-family homes, why the ban on institutions is unlikely to move the needle on prices, and what the real barrier to housing affordability in California looks like.

Key Takeaways

  • Institutional investors own roughly 1 to 3 percent of single-family homes nationwide. The scale of institutional ownership is far smaller than most headlines suggest, and geographically, it is concentrated in the South and Midwest, not California. Banning future purchases does not force existing owners to sell, so the immediate supply impact is minimal.
  • Individual investors and mom-and-pop landlords make up the larger share. When you include all investor categories, roughly 20 percent of single-family homes are investor-owned. Most of that is not institutional. Policies targeting only large institutions leave the broader picture largely unchanged.
  • The housing affordability crisis in California is primarily a supply problem. Decades of constrained permitting, high construction costs, and land scarcity have kept new supply well below demand. Changing who owns existing homes does not create new ones.
  • The rent-versus-buy math is discouraging homeownership for younger buyers. In many parts of Southern California, renting is 40 to 50 percent cheaper on a monthly basis than buying the same property. Mikey Taylor argues this is a serious long-term problem because homeownership remains one of the most reliable tools for building personal wealth and staying out of poverty.
  • Major institutional landlords are already net sellers. With yields on fixed income and private credit now competitive with rental returns, the investment case for single-family homes has weakened significantly. The institutional pullback may already be underway regardless of legislation.

Key Moments from This Episode

0:00 – Cold open: should institutions be banned from buying single-family homes?

0:39 – Welcome and introducing Mikey Taylor, CEO of Commune Capital and mayor of Thousand Oaks

2:04 – The real data: institutions own just 1-3% of single-family homes

3:56 – Two different economies: pre-2022 vs. post-2022 homeowners

7:24 – Unintended consequences: where does institutional capital go next?

8:26 – Undersupply is the core issue, not who owns what

10:42 – The state's push for multifamily: why going vertical is now the only option

12:36 – The Builder's Remedy: what happens when cities fall out of compliance

15:54 – Renting vs. buying: when the monthly delta is too big to ignore

17:11 – Final take: the ban is good messaging but won't move the needle

Questions This Episode Answers

Should institutions be banned from buying single family homes?

The policy direction is broadly supported by both Chris and Mikey, but the impact on affordability is expected to be minimal. Institutional investors own roughly 1 to 3 percent of single family homes in the United States, and the executive order limits future purchases rather than forcing divestment. Freeing up a small share of homes in markets where institutions are already concentrated, primarily in the South and Midwest, does not create a meaningful supply shift in high-cost markets like California.

Why is housing so unaffordable in California right now?

The core issue is decades of undersupply. California has been unable to build homes at the pace population and demand require because of permitting costs, environmental regulation, land scarcity, and local resistance to density. When interest rates dropped to near zero, prices surged. When rates rose sharply in 2022 and 2023, prices did not correct downward proportionally. The result is a market where monthly costs have outpaced purchasing power for most buyers who did not lock in before 2022.

What percentage of single-family homes do institutional investors actually own?

Approximately 1 to 3 percent nationally. Total investor ownership, which includes individuals and mom-and-pop landlords alongside large institutions, is closer to 20 percent. Institutional ownership is also geographically concentrated in Sun Belt markets, not in California, where the affordability conversation is most urgent.

What is the Builder's Remedy in California housing law?

The Builder's Remedy is a provision that applies when a city falls out of compliance with its state-mandated housing allocation targets, known as RHNA numbers. When a city is tagged as non-compliant, developers can bypass certain local zoning restrictions, including height limits and density caps. A city with a 45-foot height cap on apartment buildings could face a developer proposing a ten-story project. It is the state's mechanism for compelling cities that had been ignoring housing mandates to take meaningful action.

Is it better to rent or buy in Southern California right now?

The monthly math currently favors renting in most of Southern California. Renting a home can cost 40 to 50 percent less per month than carrying a mortgage on the same property at current rates. Mikey Taylor argues this is a concerning trend because homeownership functions as a forced savings mechanism and has historically been one of the most reliable paths to building wealth and financial stability over a lifetime.

Will California home prices go down?

Mikey Taylor expects a correction, though not a collapse. Prices rose when purchasing power expanded as rates fell, but they did not fall proportionally when rates rose again. Demand has softened because fewer buyers can afford to qualify at current payment levels. California is too structurally undersupplied for a dramatic price collapse, but the combination of reduced demand and elevated prices relative to monthly carrying costs suggests a correction is more likely than a sustained plateau.

Why This Matters for Prospective Homebuyers and Long-Term Investors

Housing affordability has become one of the most pressing financial concerns for a wide range of Americans, and the policy conversation has not always kept pace with what the data shows. This episode is worth listening to for anyone who wants a grounded, evidence-based view of what is actually driving the crisis and what the institutional ban is and is not likely to accomplish.

  • Prospective buyers in California trying to decide whether to buy now or continue renting while prices and rates remain elevated
  • Investors who hold real estate directly or through funds and want to understand how the policy environment is shifting

At Morton Wealth, we believe good financial decisions start with an accurate picture of what is actually happening. If questions about real estate, housing exposure, or how current market conditions affect your plan are coming up for you, that is exactly the kind of conversation we are here for.

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Disclosures: Information presented herein is for discussion and illustrative purposes only and is not intended to constitute financial advice. The views and opinions expressed by the speakers are as of the date of the recording and are subject to change. These views are not intended as a recommendation to buy or sell any securities, and should not be relied on as financial, tax, or legal advice. You should consult with your finance professional, accountant, or tax professional before implementing any transactions or strategies concerning your finances.